Movie Awards : The likely Oscar winners according to data analytics

Apparently some guy makes his living predicting awards shows using statistics: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/oscar-nominations-predictions-math-odds-zauzmer-2023-1235305292/

That doesn't go into the methodology but gives the predictions, which are pretty close to my predictions in this thread but which did not rely on any sophisticated analysis: https://filmboards.com/board/t/Oscar-predictions-3426592/

Lots of toss-ups though so I'll probably be mostly wrong.

Best Picture


Best Director


Best Actor


Best Actress


Best Supporting Actor


Best Supporting Actress


Best Original Screenplay


Best Adapted Screenplay

How do multiple movies get near 100% chance of winning in the same category?

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I guess it means each of those films satisfies that percent of the criteria he has found to predict a winner.

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I don't get it.

I've only heard of 4 of them and have seen none.

Top Gun I heard of. Tom Cruise never wins. He doesn't bow down to Big Hollywood, I don't think.

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🌸🦒

Don't care.

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😺 Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 🤨 Let's go, Brandon! 🤨 Try that in a small town.

The Banshees of Inisherin is a brilliant film

analytics

analy tics sounds like a problem that you be embarrassed about going to the doctor with.

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I hope Michelle Yeoh wins so she can give a speech teaching Americans all about diversity and inclusion.

As she goes back home to the least diverse place on the planet.

They got Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Supporting Actress wrong.

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