Politics : Biden is gonna make it

Biden is gonna make it

Trump behaves like a stubborn idiotic mule at this point. sorry, i had my hopes for like half a day that he's gonna come to senses but the way he reworks his sickness and refuses to protect his fellow people in his environment as he is still infectous, that dude is a fucking clown and people are now starting to see this all over America. his ratings are dropping in every state now, even Arizona and Pennsylvania, by 10-30 points ..



good people.

how will the Trump fraction on this board survive this. or will they?.

buh bye Trump, he will go down as an embarrassing mistake in history and a fucking joke. good riddance!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

I love it when you Lefties go all delusional, silly little girl. Shows how little you foreigners know about America. Trump is going to CRUSH Sleepy, Creepy Joe on Nov. 3!

Keep America Great!





Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!…



"I AM El Señor Fernando PÓO (💩)!!!!".

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!…



Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

pls don't die when Trump will lose in a historical landslide!

be safe, goofy old grandpops!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Please don't commit suicide when Trump WINS in an historic landslide, silly little girl.





Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

i'm not suicidal, don't worry. but u got a weak heart, old sad sack!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

My heart is twice as strong as yours, silly little girl. I'll dance on your grave!





Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

ur gifs are funny i gotta give u that, old fool!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

And you political ideas are laughable, silly little girl!







Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

she's cute



i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Yes she is.



Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Sophie, all those ratings you are placing your hopes on are faulty in the way they were conceived and executed. They are skewed to give Biden supporters hope that he can win.

But he won't.

I saw who was on the grassy knoll.

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

sure, love

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Your luscious lips beckon to mine.



I saw who was on the grassy knoll.

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

🍆💦💦💦

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

very sweet….

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

My socks still have lots of seed😅

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

😂 nice… fire away, sweetie….

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Ughhhhhh

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

oh my i should stop posting for a while, i feel how i'm getting very…… uh….. hot all over…

i'm still a good girl, right?

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Yes yes, it’s a good time to cool off lol ,yes ,your a great young lady😀👍🏼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

thanks!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Get a room, you two!



Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

i think we are good, don't worry, grandfather!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

I'm not worried, silly little girl.





Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Lol at that name

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!



If we take the time to see with the heart and not with the mind, we shall see that we are surrounded completely by angels ~ Carlos Santana

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Lol

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!



If we take the time to see with the heart and not with the mind, we shall see that we are surrounded completely by angels ~ Carlos Santana

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

very flowery!

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Lol

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

They're the same polls which predicted Crooked Hillary was going to win in 2016.



Schrodinger's Cat walks into a bar, and doesn't. 😼

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

No, he's not. Trump is going to CRUSH him!

Why experts are getting presidential election polls wrong – again

America is still running the risk of being blind and deaf when it comes to several key aspects of our presidential election process.

In reporting about the 2020 presidential contest, it’s likely that at least some of those stories quote nationwide polls.

Yes, there are some reports on the statewide contests between the Democrats and versus President Trump. But the lion’s share focus on the national picture.

That’s what we saw Tuesday, with the major headlines coming out of the ABC News/Washington Post poll showing President Trump trailing five different Democratic candidates nationally. Publicizing polls like that may sound innocent enough, but here’s the problem: that’s not how we play this game.

Hopefully most Americans have figured out that both the primary elections to choose a presidential nominee and the general election to choose the president are state-by-state contests.

Yet most stories about the Democratic primary race focus on Joe Biden’s enduring lead in national polls and not on how the Democrats are faring in early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire.

It’s as if we’re intentionally blinding ourselves to the most pertinent facts every time anyone talks about nationwide polls.

The simple solution to all of this undue focus on national polls is to simply focus more on the state-by-state polls, right? That’s what The New York Times did earlier this week with a special focus on the polls in six battleground states.

That makes sense in theory, but presents a new problem: statewide polls are much less reliable than nationwide surveys. Americans found that out on Election Night in 2016, when polls predicting victories for Hillary Clinton in the key swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin all turned out to be wrong.

If you’re looking for a definitive reason why those crucial swing state polls were wrong, good luck. In the year or so since the 2016 election, we’ve heard a number of explanations that either don’t hold up to scrutiny or cannot be objectively proven.

Perhaps the best example of that is the early explanation promoted by some pollsters who said that the 2016 swing state polls were wrong because most of them did not accurately weight them based on the respondents’ level of education.

But here’s the problem with that theory: the few statewide polls that were weighted for education levels also got the actual election results wrong. In some cases, The New York Times reported they were even more off the mark than the non-education weighted polls.

The other prevailing explanations are hard to fix or even prove. One theory is that a large majority of undecided voters decided to vote for Trump at the last minute. Another is that Trump was and is supported by disaffected Americans who are very unlikely to respond to pollsters at all.

Either way, voters and pundits alike are still flying pretty blind when it comes to statewide polls in a primary and general election system that’s determined by statewide results.

So on the one hand, American voters are blinded to more important facts because of the dominating focus on national polls in presidential elections. On the other hand, doing the right thing by switching that focus to statewide polling would subject voters to data that’s more likely to be incorrect. It’s the blind leading the blind.

But other than that, everything’s fine.

Actually, there’s a multi-faceted silver lining to all of this if we’re all willing to admit the truth about this polling conundrum.

First, voters could definitely do with more focus on what candidates are saying about the issues rather than the “horserace” aspect of our elections.

Many of the very same journalists who have been guilty of making the bulk of election “reporting” simply a series of repeating poll results have started to at least realize this is a problem for the health of our democracy and their profession.

Second, candidates who become more sensitive to the likely inaccuracy of statewide polling should become more likely to visit more of those states more often.

One of the great lessons of Hillary Clinton’s failed 2016 bid was the fact that her decision not to make more frequent visits to key Rustbelt states came back to burn her.

It wasn’t that the Clinton campaign didn’t think visiting battleground states was important, it’s just that it clearly didn’t think Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan were battleground states at all.

With all we now know about the lack of reliability of state polls, the lesson major campaigns should now learn is that almost every state is a potential battleground.

That’s why Clinton’s defeat should have led to a much better informed political class that chose to eschew conspiracy theory explanations for the 2016 results, rely less on polls, and focus on how to better listen to and connect with more voters.

When Richard Nixon made a big point of visiting all 50 states in the 1960 election, his eventual loss in that contest taught political pundits that the better way to win the White House was to game the system and only focus on battleground states. But that’s led to a disconnect between politicians and many voters ever since.

The reality that every statewide poll is likely to be inaccurate and the additional reality that we don’t even know why should do a lot to wipe out that disconnect. At the very least, it should open everyone’s ears to a few more voices a lot more often.

Jake Novak is a political and economic analyst at Jake Novak News and former CNBC TV producer. You can follow him on Twitter @jakejakeny.

Re: Biden is gonna make it

Re: Biden is gonna make it

hey, u are very kissy today

how come?

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

Re: Biden is gonna make it

Sorry, I meant to kiss Christina.

Re: Biden is gonna make it



i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

Re: Biden is gonna make it

Re: Biden is gonna make it



i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

Re: Biden is gonna make it

Make what? A number 2? That would be Biden's first bowl movement in 20 years.

The only poster who had his account banned 4 times without ever breaking any rules each of those times.

Re: Biden is gonna make it

we'll see big guy.

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

Re: Biden is gonna make it

people are now starting to see this all over America

With the exception of "Never-Trump" Republicans (a tiny minority), Republicans by and large are still going to vote for him. Trump has already put two conservatives on the Supreme Court, lowered taxes for the rich, ripped up the Iran Deal, exited the Paris Climate Agreement, moved our embassy to Jerusalem, etc. He's doing EVERYTHING that the establishment wing of the party wants him to do.

Trump's working class base ("the Deplorables")- many of whom are independents, former Democrats or first time voters - are still going to vote for him too, even though he's screwed them over repeatedly and royally. Many of these blue collar types are hoping against hope that Trump will revive the economy, build a border wall and put a stop to the BLM chaos engulfing their cities. So far, Trump has failed to deliver on all those things. ;-(

So I don't think anyone already aboard the Trump Train is exiting anytime soon. They're in it for the long haul as the saying goes. Putting people at risk in his environment doesn't seem to bother them (including all the MAGA hat wearing supporters who showed up for his rally in Minnesota last week). They've put their faith in Trump for whatever reason and they're determined to get him reelected.

his ratings are dropping in every state now, even Arizona and Pennsylvania, by 10-30 points ..

While I believe there's some truth to those polls, I wouldn't put my faith in them. As we learned from 2016, polls can sometimes be way off. Trump's biggest concern is with independent and undecided voters, those voters are going to be a problem for him esp. after the events of the last week.

Undecided voters will determine this election; if Trump fails to win over enough of them, he's toast.

Re: Biden is gonna make it

crypto, u know i like u, u are a decent guy and if u ever give and gave me advice on life i would take that to heart. u have a great movie and music taste and all that, but i just cannot discuss politics with u. i appreciate the effort u put into these posts, explaining ur standpoint and all that, but i can't. i think we are worlds apart here, while getting along just fine apart from that. i'm sorry, but i will not reply to ur post here.

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden

Re: Biden is gonna make it

Hey, I'm essentially agreeing with you on this election. In my usual long-winded way, I'm saying that Trump is going to have a hard time pulling this thing off because of undecided voters. Undecided voters will determine the election and, unless Trump's able to perform a miracle, they're voting for Joe Biden. I believe that Trump's Covid-19 diagnosis is the final nail in his political coffin esp. after he mocked people for wearing masks.

Re: Biden is gonna make it

oh yeah that makes sense to me. lol sorry crypto. 😂 u are a smart guy.

i masturbate loud as hell and if u don't like that then go to a different olive garden
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