Homeland : What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .

What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .

The guy Quinn is watching really does turn out to be a bad guy? Or someone spying on Carrie (unlikely that he's spying on Quinn)? Or nothing at all?

Re: What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .

Very high.
Would be way too much of a coincidence, the very same guy visits Sekou workplace parking lot in the night, with police cover, and the next thing that happens is Sekou's van blowing up. Also: That apartment isn't his, all the pictures in there are from some black family.

The guy from the apartment probably works for FBI/CIA and they couldn't stand Sekou getting off/Carrie pressuring them like that, so they took it to the next level and straight up organized a false flag with Sekou as the framed perp and possible blowback on Carrie for getting that "evil terrorist" off the hook.

At least that's what it looks like right now, sure it may look way too obvious right now, but the show wasn't big on bait&switch in prior seasons I don't see why that would suddenly change.

Re: What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .

Not to mention Medina, the name of the van shipping line Sekou and neighbor across the street went to, is a city in Saudi Arabia. As soon as I saw the name when Quinn drove by snapping some pictures I knew something was very, very wrong.

Carrie is definitely going to be blamed for what happened, as she released Sekou the day before the attack. Yikes!

Re: What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .

It can't be a coincidence that the guy went into Sekou's workplace and the next thing his van blows up. Whoever is behind it is debatable, but I think it's a little too extreme to say that feds or CIA would murder their own citizens just to frame a guy who may or may not have been a jihadist. Going off the book to falsely set someone up and discredit Carrie is pretty evil even for them especially when they've done questionable methods that were geared to prevent attacks in the near future.

Re: What would you say the percentage of likelihood is that . . .


but I think it's a little too extreme to say that feds or CIA would murder their own citizens just to frame a guy who may or may not have been a jihadist


Not that they would have considered such a thing in the real world: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods

If similar operations actually happened then you can be sure that they will be classified for all eternity so nobody will be any wiser.

Case in point: The 2001 anthrax attacks involved military grade anthrax that's not really easy to come by and most certainly couldn't have been produced in some cave by box cutter wielding amateurs. Yet the White House was still very eager to blame Al Qaeda, and even Iraq, for those attacks: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/world/fbi-told-blame-anthrax-scare-al-qaeda-white-house-officials-article-1.312733

Conspiracy theory? Sure, just like "The NSA is listening in on every phone call" used to be a "conspiracy theory".

You have to think bigger, this isn't just about that one guy, it's about justifying a global "war on terror" and the methods used by the FBI and CIA.
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